This course will provide you with a basic, intuitive and practical introduction into Probability Theory. You will be able to learn how to apply Probability Theory in different scenarios and you will earn a "toolbox" of methods to deal with uncertainty in your daily life.
提供：
An Intuitive Introduction to Probability
チューリッヒ大学（University of Zurich）
このコースについて
46,047 最近の表示
受講生の就業成果
25%
コース終了後に新しいキャリアをスタートした
22%
コースが具体的なキャリアアップにつながった
習得するスキル
Bayes' TheoremNormal DistributionProbabilityConditional Probability
受講生の就業成果
25%
コース終了後に新しいキャリアをスタートした
22%
コースが具体的なキャリアアップにつながった
100%オンライン
自分のスケジュールですぐに学習を始めてください。
柔軟性のある期限
スケジュールに従って期限をリセットします。
初級レベル
約15時間で修了
推奨：You will have to invest about 3-4 hours per module to acquire the taught knowledge.
英語
字幕：英語, ペルシア語
提供：
チューリッヒ大学（University of Zurich）
Founded in 1833, the University of Zurich (UZH) is Switzerland’s largest university, with a current enrollment of over 26,000 students. Made up of seven faculties covering approximately 100 different subject areas, UZH is proud to offer the most comprehensive academic program in the country.
シラバス - 本コースの学習内容
4時間で修了
Probability
In this module we will learn about probabilities and perform our first calculations using probability formulas. We want to get comfortable with the idea that probabilities describe the chance of uncertain events occurring.
4時間で修了
7件のビデオ （合計63分）, 1 reading, 7 quizzes
7件のビデオ
Welcome6 分
Introduction5 分
Definition and Rules12 分
A First Look at Statistical Independence10 分
Subjective Probabilities9 分
Empirical Probabilities: Benford's Law11 分
Exercise7 分
1件の学習用教材
Script: Part 12 時間
7の練習問題
Introductory Quiz2 分
1.14 分
1.26 分
1.34 分
1.44 分
1.54 分
1.64 分
3時間で修了
Conditional Probability
The arrival of new information may lead us to alter our probabilistic assessments of uncertain events. In this module, we will learn how the concept of "conditional" probabilities allows us to make these changes correctly. Script of the course can be found here: https://www.coursera.org/learn/introductiontoprobability/resources/qxi9W
3時間で修了
6件のビデオ （合計54分）, 1 reading, 6 quizzes
6件のビデオ
Intuition8 分
Definition7 分
Multiplication Rules10 分
Probability Tables9 分
Bayes Rule10 分
Exercise6 分
1件の学習用教材
Script: Part 22 時間
6の練習問題
2.14 分
2.24 分
2.34 分
2.44 分
2.54 分
2.64 分
2時間で修了
Application
We will discuss some fascinating every-day applications of probability. In addition to entertaining examples, we will also review very serious applications from finance and law.
2時間で修了
6件のビデオ （合計80分）
6件のビデオ
The Monty Hall Problem11 分
Structuring Risks: Part 113 分
Structuring Risks: Part 28 分
The Prosecutor's Fallacy15 分
The Sad Story of Sally Clark16 分
6の練習問題
3.14 分
3.22 分
3.3.16 分
3.3.24 分
3.46 分
3.56 分
4時間で修了
Discrete Random Variables
In this module we move beyond probabilities and learn about important summary measures such as expected values, variances, and standard deviations. We also learn about the most popular discrete probability distribution, the binomial distribution.
4時間で修了
8件のビデオ （合計80分）, 1 reading, 8 quizzes
8件のビデオ
Expected Value12 分
Measures of Dispersion8 分
Application: Financial Model5 分
Binomial Distribution17 分
Application: Airline Overbooking11 分
Exercise 16 分
Exercise 25 分
1件の学習用教材
Script: Part 42 時間
8の練習問題
4.14 分
4.24 分
4.34 分
4.44 分
4.52 分
4.64 分
4.76 分
4.84 分
レビュー
4.7
AN INTUITIVE INTRODUCTION TO PROBABILITY からの人気レビュー
NSによりSep 16, 2017
Superb course. I am very impressed with the way the faculty explained real world examples through the probability concepts. I wish we can have more courses from him on statistics and machine learning.
PPによりApr 14, 2018
This COURSE is quite interesting to learn many new thing which has explained very interestingly by karl\n\nbut add more on this as many topics are missing in this course and teach more on excel part
RRによりJun 16, 2017
Amazing course to understand the nature of probability and its applications. Lecture delivery by Karl is fabulous and the efforts put in by Jose is highly appreciable. Hoping for an advance course.
AAによりMay 24, 2018
The course explains probability and normal distribution concepts in a way it is easier to follow. And makes it further easier using usual excel function. Very well taught course! A big thank you!!
RRによりMay 16, 2019
Excellent way of teaching. Clear Explanation of the topics with to the point discussion. Diverse applications of probability covered in one course. Definitely helpful in my office / research work.
URによりNov 2, 2017
This course is an absolute GEM. I am glad I took it before my CFA preparation. I would highly recommend this course . I thoroughly enjoyed all the real time applications given by the professor!!!
HHによりFeb 25, 2018
Really enjoyed this class. It gives a nice introduction to probability with engaging examples. It require that you have excel and in the later part you spend sometime solving exercises in Excel.
CEによりMar 28, 2017
This course is great. Karl is really smart and funny. I hope he makes more courses. Thanks Karl!\n\nps. I thought I had already rated it, but don't see my star count and it deserves every star!
NMによりJul 4, 2017
It is a gentle introduction to probability. The professor and the teaching assistant are excellent. This indeed is a intuitive introduction to probability, I would highly recommend this course.
PKによりJul 28, 2017
Taught from a very practical standpoint with no math derivations or excessive theory. The use of Microsoft Excel made it very easy to calculate probabilities. This course has numerous ral-world
SMによりJan 10, 2018
Excellent explanations, clear, concise and fun. Best course I found on basic probability, really entertained me and got me stuck to the computer wanting to learn more. Definitely recommended!
AJによりJul 24, 2019
The course provides introduction to probability in a very interesting manner along with the common misinterpretations of it as well.\n\nGo for it to clear your basics of probability.
LGによりJun 15, 2017
All the concepts and examples are taught very intuitive and accessible. One can also find useful Excel hints for calculating probabilities. Many thanks to the authors of the course!
SMによりSep 13, 2017
This course was very well taught. Without using much of Math, the instructor has given a good feel for probability. Would recommend this course to anyone interested in probability.
BTによりSep 2, 2017
The course is really really intuitive, I'm from Mechanical Engineering and I still find this to be interesting, despite the fact that some of the examples are focused on business.
ATによりSep 17, 2017
A really excellent class- I learned a good deal about probability and (more importantly) really felt like I *finally* understood things! The professor and TA were very good too.
PRによりJul 13, 2019
I thoroughly enjoyed this course. Mr. Karl is a wonderful teacher. I would love to know if there are more advanced versions of this course which I can take up. Thanks again.
RBによりMar 1, 2020
Excellent course, thoroughly enjoyed learning statistics, very straightforward, excellent presenters engaged me in the work. Highly recommended. I want to continue learning
NSによりFeb 26, 2019
Thoroughly enjoyed the course! After this course I feel confident to learn more about probability as it doesn't seem intimidating as it did before I started . Many Thanks!
KHによりOct 22, 2018
Nice intuition about probability that can help you to understand the problems in daily life, and how to solve it. Appreciate the teacher of this class for best intuition.
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