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271件のレビュー

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自分のスケジュールですぐに学習を始めてください。

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約32時間で修了

推奨:4-8 hours/week...

英語

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ModelingEconomicsDecision-MakingStrategic Thinking

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自分のスケジュールですぐに学習を始めてください。

柔軟性のある期限

スケジュールに従って期限をリセットします。

約32時間で修了

推奨:4-8 hours/week...

英語

字幕:アラビア語, ウクライナ語, 中国語(簡体), ポルトガル語(ブラジル), トルコ語, 英語...

シラバス - 本コースの学習内容

1
3時間で修了

Why Model & Segregation/Peer Effects

In these lectures, I describe some of the reasons why a person would want to take a modeling course. These reasons fall into four broad categories: 1)To be an intelligent citizen of the world 2) To be a clearer thinker 3) To understand and use data 4) To better decide, strategize, and design. There are two readings for this section. These should be read either after the first video or at the completion of all of the videos.We now jump directly into some models. We contrast two types of models that explain a single phenomenon, namely that people tend to live and interact with people who look, think, and act like themselves. After an introductory lecture, we cover famous models by Schelling and Granovetter that cover these phenomena. We follows those with a fun model about standing ovations that I wrote with my friend John Miller. ...
12件のビデオ (合計124分), 6 readings, 1 quiz
12件のビデオ
Why Model?8 分
Intelligent Citizens of the World11 分
Thinking More Clearly10 分
Using and Understanding Data10 分
Using Models to Decide, Strategize, and Design15 分
Sorting and Peer Effects Introduction5 分
Schelling's Segregation Model11 分
Measuring Segregation11 分
Peer Effects6 分
The Standing Ovation Model18 分
The Identification Problem10 分
6件の学習用教材
Welcome10 分
Grading Policy10 分
Course FAQ10 分
Syllabus10 分
Help us learn more about you!10 分
Segregation and Peer Effects10 分
1の練習問題
Why Model? & Segregation and Peer Effects12 分
2
3時間で修了

Aggregation & Decision Models

In this section, we explore the mysteries of aggregation, i.e. adding things up. We start by considering how numbers aggregate, focusing on the Central Limit Theorem. We then turn to adding up rules. We consider the Game of Life and one dimensional cellular automata models. Both models show how simple rules can combine to produce interesting phenomena. Last, we consider aggregating preferences. Here we see how individual preferences can be rational, but the aggregates need not be.There exist many great places on the web to read more about the Central Limit Theorem, the Binomial Distribution, Six Sigma, The Game of Life, and so on. I've included some links to get you started. The readings for cellular automata and for diverse preferences are short excerpts from my books Complex Adaptive Social Systems and The Difference Respectively....
12件のビデオ (合計138分), 1 reading, 1 quiz
12件のビデオ
Central Limit Theorem18 分
Six Sigma5 分
Game of Life14 分
Cellular Automata18 分
Preference Aggregation12 分
Introduction to Decision Making5 分
Multi-Criterion Decision Making8 分
Spatial Choice Models11 分
Probability: The Basics10 分
Decision Trees14 分
Value of Information8 分
1件の学習用教材
Decision Models10 分
1の練習問題
Aggregation & Decision Models16 分
3
3時間で修了

Thinking Electrons: Modeling People & Categorical and Linear Models

In this section, we study various ways that social scientists model people. We study and contrast three different models. The rational actor approach, behavioral models, and rule based models . These lectures provide context for many of the models that follow. There's no specific reading for these lectures though I mention several books on behavioral economics that you may want to consider. Also, if you find the race to the bottom game interesting just type "Rosemary Nagel Race to the Bottom" into a search engine and you'll get several good links. You can also find good introductions to "Zero Intelligence Traders" by typing that in as well....
12件のビデオ (合計130分), 1 reading, 1 quiz
12件のビデオ
Rational Actor Models16 分
Behavioral Models12 分
Rule Based Models12 分
When Does Behavior Matter?12 分
Introduction to Linear Models4 分
Categorical Models15 分
Linear Models8 分
Fitting Lines to Data11 分
Reading Regression Output11 分
From Linear to Nonlinear6 分
The Big Coefficient vs The New Reality11 分
1件の学習用教材
Categorical and Linear Models10 分
1の練習問題
Modules Thinking Electrons: Modeling People & Categorical and Linear Models20 分
4
3時間で修了

Tipping Points & Economic Growth

In this section, we cover tipping points. We focus on two models. A percolation model from physics that we apply to banks and a model of the spread of diseases. The disease model is more complicated so I break that into two parts. The first part focuses on the diffusion. The second part adds recovery. The readings for this section consist of two excerpts from the book I'm writing on models. One covers diffusion. The other covers tips. There is also a technical paper on tipping points that I've included in a link. I wrote it with PJ Lamberson and it will be published in the Quarterly Journal of Political Science. I've included this to provide you a glimpse of what technical social science papers look like. You don't need to read it in full, but I strongly recommend the introduction. It also contains a wonderful reference list....
13件のビデオ (合計132分), 1 reading, 1 quiz
13件のビデオ
Percolation Models11 分
Contagion Models 1: Diffusion7 分
Contagion Models 2: SIS Model9 分
Classifying Tipping Points8 分
Measuring Tips13 分
Introduction To Growth6 分
Exponential Growth10 分
Basic Growth Model13 分
Solow Growth Model11 分
Will China Continue to Grow?11 分
Why Do Some Countries Not Grow?11 分
Piketty's Capital: The Power of Simple Model8 分
1件の学習用教材
Economic Growth10 分
1の練習問題
Modules Tipping Points & Economic Growth18 分
4.8
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by GKFeb 25th 2017

Great content and lectures, that possibly provides new dimensions to look/explain the situation in context, I guess I will comeback for references to continue with this journey in to 'Model Thinking'

by BGJan 26th 2019

I learned much more than anticipated. In fact I've already started exploring areas of my work that model thinking would apply and how to use the tools presented in this class. Highly recommend!

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Scott E. Page

Professor of Complex Systems, Political Science, and Economics
Center for the Study of Complex Systems

ミシガン大学(University of Michigan)について

The mission of the University of Michigan is to serve the people of Michigan and the world through preeminence in creating, communicating, preserving and applying knowledge, art, and academic values, and in developing leaders and citizens who will challenge the present and enrich the future....

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